Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 50%
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Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado24/08/26, 20:09 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point prior to or on December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM PT, Theo Jaffee publicly confirms, announces, or explicitly refers to having a girlfriend, romantic partner, or significant other.
- Acceptable sources of confirmation include:
- A post or reply from his official X account (@theojaffee)
- An announcement or explicit reference on his Substack (theojaffee.com) or his podcast
- Direct confirmation by Theo Jaffee in the comments section of this market or via another reliable prediction market platform.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 50% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? é resolvido?
- Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria