Will the U.S. use a nuclear weapon against Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain between November 4 and November 10, 2026?
One-OffOriente MédioGeopolítica16d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.4%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
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Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 36 minutos
2/10/26, 18:28 UTC10/11/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States military uses (detonates) one or more nuclear weapons targeting Iran's Pickaxe Mountain (Kūh-e Kolang Gaz Lā) facility at any point between 12:00 AM UTC on November 4, 2026, and 11:59 PM UTC on November 10, 2026, inclusive.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined by credible public reporting or official announcements from the following sources:
- U.S. Department of Defense
- Associated Press
