Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.6%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado29/03/26, 14:55 UTC15/01/27, 00:00 UTC
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Resolution criteria (strict):
- Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31 23:59:59 ET, the U.S. President signs into law a federal statute where AI is a primary subject.
- Executive orders, agency guidance, draft bills, committee approvals, or state laws do NOT count.
- If no qualifying federal AI statute is signed by deadline, resolves NO.
- Primary sources:
- Congress.gov final bill status
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria (strict):