Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

One-OffPolítica Europe Eleição3a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 82.4%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 horas

Desatualizado

13/12/23, 08:21 UTC1/01/30, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

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This refers to the general election for the house of commons (not local elections of Scottish/Welsh/Northern Irish)

An ammended version of FPTP which includes ranked choice will resolve to Yes.
Or any other amendments that significantly change the way that people vote and how well parties do - I will decide this so slightly ambiguous.
Any other systems will resolve to Yes eg Proportional representation (whether that's STV of some other system)
If the system remains in place as it currently is by the 1st of Jan 2030 then this resolves to No
A bill to change the voting systems needs to have passed before the date of Jan 1st 2030, so anything that is being debated will not be considered.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

One-OffPolítica Europe Eleição3a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 82.4%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 horas

Desatualizado

13/12/23, 08:21 UTC1/01/30, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

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Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

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Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?

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Will the European Commission's AI Office issue a formal notice of non-compliance to a provider of a "High-Risk AI System" on or before December 31, 2026?

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Regras

This refers to the general election for the house of commons (not local elections of Scottish/Welsh/Northern Irish)

An ammended version of FPTP which includes ranked choice will resolve to Yes.
Or any other amendments that significantly change the way that people vote and how well parties do - I will decide this so slightly ambiguous.
Any other systems will resolve to Yes eg Proportional representation (whether that's STV of some other system)
If the system remains in place as it currently is by the 1st of Jan 2030 then this resolves to No
A bill to change the voting systems needs to have passed before the date of Jan 1st 2030, so anything that is being debated will not be considered.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030? é resolvido?: Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
Como Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This refers to the general election for the house of commons (not local elections of Scottish/Welsh/Northern Irish)

Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

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