Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2044 6.8%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado9/04/26, 18:05 UTC31/12/48, 18:53 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
PolymarketWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWhich of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve "Yes" for a specific election year option if Pope Leo XIV formally registers as a candidate for the office of President of the United States with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- If Leo XIV (born Robert Prevost in Chicago, 1955) resigned, returned to the US, and ran (e.g., in 2028), he meets Article II requirements (natural-born citizen, 35+, 14-year residency).
- No precedent exists, but it’s legally possible post-resignation.