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Não 65.7%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado7/12/25, 16:53 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
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KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegras
Resolves based on the next Bundestag Chancellor election (expected 2029 or earlier).
- Resolves YES if some or all AfD MPs vote for the winning Chancellor candidate AND their votes are necessary for the candidate to win (absolute majority in rounds 1–2, or plurality in round 3).
- Resolves NO if the Chancellor is elected without AfD votes, or if AfD votes for the winner but they would have won without them.
- Note: If votes are secret, resolution will be based on publicly available information (e.g., announced coalition agreements, party statements).
- In ambiguous cases, resolves based on market creator's best judgment.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support? é resolvido?
- Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves based on the next Bundestag Chancellor election (expected 2029 or earlier).