Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 82.3%
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado8/03/23, 00:37 UTC1/03/27, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.
Manifold MarketsWill the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegras
Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe.
- Will Giorgia Meloni last 5 years?
- https://pagellapolitica.it/articoli/durata-governi-italia
- (the article is in italian but I couldn't find anything as relevant in english)
- The market will resolve at the end of the term (~2027) or before in case of fall.
Mercados abertos
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 494,6 mil
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 809,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 123,4 mil
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the italian government last for the entire term of office??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? é resolvido?
- Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2027.
- Como Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe.