Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82.9% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? é resolvido?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.

Como Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: BASELINE (2025 leader): The current leader as of Aug 2025 appears to be GPT-4.5 with ~90.2% on MMLU, with Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 Pro at ~85-86%

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.5pt94%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+28.0pt89%

+15 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 5,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 317,3 mil

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt28.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.6pt21.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.5pt16.2%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.4pt30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.5pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-7.5pt48%
• 2026-1.2pt13%

+1 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 968,7 mil

Volume 24h

€ 68 mil

• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• Best AI this week
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?