Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82.9% em 25 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? é resolvido?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.

Como Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: BASELINE (2025 leader): The current leader as of Aug 2025 appears to be GPT-4.5 with ~90.2% on MMLU, with Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 Pro at ~85-86%

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.8pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.8pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 3,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 126,6 mil

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.1pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.4pt30.8%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.4pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.2pt19%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt54.5%
• Google-4.0pt37.4%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 mais resultados

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+5.5pt83%
• December 15,+7.0pt81%
• November 30,-1.0pt64%

+9 mais resultados

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