![Will the head of state of [country] officially be named [title] of that country on any day in 2039?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2F8Kraken8%252F0a48fcb54b4e.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Will the head of state of [country] officially be named [title] of that country on any day in 2039?
Oriente MédioOne-OffRússia / Ucrânia13a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Shah (Iran) 52.1%Líder entre 11 opções
Shah (Iran) 52.1%Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado8/02/24, 16:37 UTC1/01/40, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
The head of state of which [country] will first officially be named [title] of that country?
Manifold MarketsAt any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Manifold MarketsAt any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
Manifold MarketsAt any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves as 'Yes' if the respective head of state bears the title at some point in 2039.
- Note that only the official title is necessary, even if they are e.g. still chosen by regular elections.
- The answer needs to be the official title or a generally accepted English translation of the title.
- Resolves as 'Yes' if the name of the title would be as listed if its holder had a different gender (e.g. 'Tsarina' or 'Tsaritsa' instead of 'Tsar').
- Resolves 'No' if the country ceases to meaningfully exist or retains less that 10% of the territory it had in January 2024.
- A country changing its name can still resolve as 'Yes', e.g. if Iran becomes Persia and has a Shah, it would count.
