The head of state of which [country] will first officially be named [title] of that country?

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Previsão da comunidade atual

None before 2070 55.8%

Líder entre 12 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

0.0 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 horas

Desatualizado

8/02/24, 17:23 UTC1/01/70, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Whichever combination of title and country comes to be first will be the chosen answer.

Note that only the official title is necessary, even if they are e.g. still chosen by regular elections.
The answer needs to be the official title or a generally accepted English translation of the title.
Resolves as 'Yes' for an option if the name of the title would be as listed if its holder had a different gender (e.g. 'Tsarina' or 'Tsaritsa' instead of 'Tsar').
Does not count if the country ceases to meaningfully exist or as long as it retains less that 10% of the territory it had in January 2024.
A country changing its name can still resolve as 'Yes', e.g. if Iran becomes Persia and gets a Shah, it would count.

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