Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98.8%
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17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado8/09/24, 01:51 UTC1/01/27, 16:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
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PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegras
Elon Musk has stated on X (formerly known as Twitter) that the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2026:
- https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833?t=vksvLiovvh5ZD-XvdX5V0w&s=19
- Market resolves YES if successful crewed or uncrewed launches happen before 1 January 2027 and NO otherwise
Mercados abertos
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- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
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- Volume 24h
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LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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- Yes43.5%
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- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
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- Above 8-6.0pt84%
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- Above 10-4.0pt18%
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- June 30, 202753%
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- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Elon Musk has stated on X (formerly known as Twitter) that the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2026: