Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualYES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon 35.9%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado22/08/25, 03:06 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This resolves on China’s first crewed mission that successfully lands taikonauts on the lunar surface (soft landing achieved; mere lunar orbit or aborts don’t count).
- Outcome is determined from official post-mission reports/broadcasts by CMSA/Xinhua/CCTV; if unavailable, reputable wire services (Reuters/AP) may be used.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is the first to step onto the lunar surface on that mission, per official timeline/coverage.
- “the named outcome” if a woman steps onto the surface after a male crewmate from the same mission has already done so.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is assigned to that mission but does not ride the lander and stays in lunar orbit.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman??
- A Manifold Markets cota YES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon em 36% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? é resolvido?
- Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria