Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.5%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado28/03/25, 20:49 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) classifies the United States as either a "hybrid regime" or an "authoritarian regime" in any of its Democracy Index reports published before January 1, 2030.
- It resolves to NO if the United States remains classified as either a "full democracy" or a "flawed democracy" in all EIU Democracy Index reports through the end of 2029.
- The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) publishes an annual Democracy Index that categorizes countries into four regime types:
- Full democracies (scores of 8.01-10)
- Flawed democracies (scores of 6.01-8.00)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria