Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 81.4%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado22/08/26, 22:07 UTC15/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center has designated at least THREE (3) distinct Atlantic basin tropical cyclones as hurricanes during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the hurricane designation issued at or before 23:59 UTC on October 15, 2026.
- RESOLUTION SOURCE: National Hurricane Center (nhc.noaa.gov) — public advisories and the NHC 2026 Atlantic season archive.
- A storm counts once it is carried at hurricane intensity (maximum sustained winds >= 64 kt / 74 mph) in an NHC advisory or in the post-season Tropical Cyclone Report.
- Subtropical storms do not count unless NHC classifies them at hurricane intensity.
- Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific storms do not count.
- Each named storm counts at most once, regardless of how many times it strengthens.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 81% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15? é resolvido?
- Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center has designated at least THREE (3) distinct Atlantic basin tropical cyclones as hurricanes during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the hurricane designation issued at or before 23:59 UTC on October 15, 2026.