Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 03:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
October 91.7%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+36.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado19/05/26, 11:51 UTC30/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWhich names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Activity is measured in accumulated cyclone energy (ACE).
- If a storm is active across two distinct months, I’ll do my best to estimate the breakdown of ACE into the two months.
- I may ask Claude Opus 4.7 for assistance in resolving the question if needed.
- Source for resolution: https://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?loc=northatlantic
- In the unlikely case of a tie, I will use the number of storms in a month.
- In case of an even unlikelier subsequent tie, I will use the number of active days in a month.
