Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
4.5 pts (24h)IATecnologia4mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualN = 100 85.1%-4.5ptLíder entre 6 opções
Previsores
87
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-6.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
2/06/25, 20:0831/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N:
- Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the following definitions for how the market will be resolved:
- A robotaxi service is defined as one where a user can request a ride on-demand, similar to Uber or Lyft.
- It will still count if riders must first join a waitlist.
- The fleet size will be determined by the total number of Teslas used for an autonomous ride by someone other than the owner.
- A vehicle is considered "actively operating" if it provides at least one such ride within any given week.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota N = 100 em 85% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N: