Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?
Latin AmericaOne-OffTecnologiaSpace3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84.2%
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12
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binary
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Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado25/06/26, 13:42 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, during SpaceX's 14th integrated Starship flight test (commonly referred to as Starship Flight 14 or IFT-14), SpaceX executes an active attempt to catch the first-stage Super Heavy booster using the launch tower's "chopstick" arms (Mechazilla).
- What constitutes a "catch attempt"? A catch attempt is defined as the Super Heavy booster returning to a launch pad (e.g., Starbase, Texas) and attempting a landing burn to guide itself into the launch tower's arms for recovery.
- Success is not required for a YES resolution: If the booster guides itself to the tower to attempt a catch, the market resolves to YES even if the catch ultimately fails (e.g., the booster crashes, explodes, or damages the tower during the catch sequence).
- What resolves to NO? The market will resolve to NO if:
- The booster is intentionally diverted to a water landing (such as a splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico) without attempting a tower catch.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 84% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ? é resolvido?
- Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria