Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.9%
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6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
14/09/26, 19:52 UTC30/09/26, 23:59 UTC
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- Resolves YES if this unambiguously happened (eg someone sending me an email that was clearly meant for Jacob Coxon).
- Resolves 50% if it’s something more marginal / unclear (like if someone misspeaks).
- Resolves NO if I have no evidence this happened by the end of the month.
- I will be excluding any efforts that I suspect were done to manipulate this market.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? é resolvido?
- Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Two Jacob Co??n’s in AI safety — It hasn’t happened yet, but I feel like it’s bound to…