Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 63%
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9
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado11/09/23, 10:56 UTC1/01/27, 22:59 UTC
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Regras
Resolves YES if the French national railway operator SNCF (or any legal structure that is clearly a successor of current day SNCF) operates 15 or more permanent night train lines, concurrently, at any time before Jan 1st 2027.
- I reserve the right to N/A on ambiguity after discussion in the comment.
- A line qualifies if it has a different terminus than all other operating lines, and if it operates year-long on a regular schedule (does not need to be daily, but does need more than weekly, and not only in the summer/winter).
- Night train lines qualify if they are labeled as such, and contain sleeping accommodation (not just a very late train)
- There is currently 6 SNCF operated night train lines (all of them of course qualify under the aforementioned criteria) with plan for another one opening in 2023.
- This is up from 2 in the 2010's but down from double digit numbers in the 60-70's
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the French national railway operator SNCF (or any legal structure that is clearly a successor of current day SNCF) operates 15 or more permanent night train lines, concurrently, at any time before Jan 1st 2027.