Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?
One-OffPolíticaEuropa2m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2028 29%Líder entre 3 opções
Before Jan 1, 2028 29%Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Contratos em aberto
3,8 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
5/03/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2028
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor sentenced to prison in 2026?
FutuurAndrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Speaker of the House of Representatives still be in the Presidential line of succession in 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegras
If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:UK Parliament
- For the purposes of this contract, enactment is satisfied upon the bill receiving Royal Assent in the United Kingdom; corresponding legislation or formal consent by Commonwealth realms is not required. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods. For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods. For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes. For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness. Legislative passage without completed executive action, passage by only some required bodies, provisional passage, non-binding resolutions, and draft orders do not constitute enactment. Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.