Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Roon's Tweet about various great minds discussing flops age well by 2027??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 90.9% em 28 de outubro de 2026.

Will Roon's Tweet about various great minds discussing flops age well by 2027?

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Não 90.9%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Atualizado há 1 hora

Atrasado

18/12/23, 13:35 UTC2/01/27, 04:59 UTC

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Roon (https://twitter.com/tszzl/status/1736286837822595177): Great minds discuss flops; average minds discuss data; small minds discuss architecture.

Eliezer Yudkowsky: This will not age well.
If non-obvious (meaning not trading very high or very low), will be resolved via Twitter poll asking if this aged well (with no additional wording), or other similar survey mechanism.
Will resolve to YES or NO, not to a percentage.
No aging mid.