Will Roman Shogdzhiev become the youngest chess Grandmaster ever?
Rússia / UcrâniaOne-OffXadrezEsportes8mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 02:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 59.6%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 37 minutos
13/10/26, 13:47 UTC29/06/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will someone break the record for youngest Chess player to reach 2800 FIDE rating by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Language Model under 10B parameters play chess at Grandmaster level by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
KalshiLevytskyi Myhailo vs. Horokh Roman
PolymarketRegras
Roman Shogdzhiev is an 11-year old chess prodigy and International Master from Russia.
- He recently achieved his second Grandmaster norm out of three needed, and his classical chess rating as of market creation is 2471, only 29 points away from the 2500 rating needed to claim the Grandmaster title.
- This market will resolve YES if Shogdzhiev is recognized as a Grandmaster by FIDE before he reaches the age of 12 years, 4 months and 25 days old, thereby becoming the youngest Grandmaster in chess history, and NO otherwise.