Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (96.5%)
Resolvido: 1 de out. de 2026, 11:53
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de out. de 2026, 17:56 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes3.5%
No96.5%
Ganhou
Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiRegras
Update 2026-09-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the evidence required to determine if a nerf has occurred:
- isitnerfed.org will not be used as the sole source for resolution.
- Resolution will be based on benchmarks, reports on X, and other reliable, verifiable sources.
- Update 2026-09-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve as YES, there must be measurable evidence of a meaningful performance drop from multiple reliable and verifiable sources.
- Anecdotal claims and noisy benchmarks will not be sufficient to consider the model nerfed.