Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027?
RegulamentaçãoIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsTecnologia1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.1%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado11/05/26, 16:21 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This question resolves YES if, on or before 2027-12-31, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Alphabet, or one of their controlled subsidiaries:
- acquires a registered broker-dealer,
- takes a controlling equity stake in a broker-dealer,
- obtains majority voting control of a broker-dealer, or
- otherwise assumes operational control of a broker-dealer.
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 182,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria