Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
PolíticaOne-OffChessUS PoliticsEleiçãoEsportes1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.4%
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado23/06/26, 16:16 UTC31/05/28, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.
- If One Nation gets a majority of seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- To be clear, because they have to win a majority of seats for this market to resolve to YES, even if they form a minority government (e.g. as Labor did in 2010) with the help of crossbenchers declaring support on confidence and supply, this market will still resolve to NO.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia? é resolvido?
- Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de maio de 2028.
- Como Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.