Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoXadrezPolítica dos EUAEsportes1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 51.4%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado21/05/25, 06:31 UTC30/06/28, 06:29 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the Australian Labor Party wins an absolute majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- For the purpose of this market:
- An absolute majority of seats means more than half of the seats in the House of Representatives.
- A general election means simultaneous elections for every seat in the House of Representatives (as opposed to a by-election).
