Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.9%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 49 minutos
Atrasado25/06/23, 03:24 UTC1/01/00, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will an alien invasion wipe out humanity by 2100?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2100.
- If we are not still around, then the resolution is up to whatever intelligent non-human beings, if any, exist in our wake.
- Hopefully, they will resolve it correctly based on whether or not it was nanotechnology that did us in.
