Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffBusiness & CorporateTecnologia1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado1/04/26, 16:49 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
By December 31, 2026, Apple will acquire, merge with, or otherwise legally take control of Anthropic.
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWill JPMorgan acquire any company before 2028?
KalshiWill SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Microsoft acquires or merges with OpenAI by December 31, 2027.
- Resolution requires a binding agreement where Microsoft obtains control of OpenAI as a subsidiary or through a full merger, as confirmed by official announcements from both companies or regulatory filings.
- Partial ownership stakes, minority investments, or partnership agreements do not qualify.
- The market resolves NO if no such acquisition or merger occurs by the deadline.
- Microsoft has invested in OpenAI since 2019, with a $10 billion investment in January 2023.
Mercados abertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 85,3 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,9 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 21,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 mais resultados
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria