Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.4%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado13/06/25, 16:46 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWhen will SpaceX and Tesla merge?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegras
Walter Isaacson believes it will happen:
- https://www.thecooldown.com/green-business/tesla-xai-merger-elon-musk-walter-isaacson/
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If xAI merges with SpaceX first, this market will still resolve YES if the resulting entity (SpaceX/xAI) subsequently merges with Tesla by the end of 2027.
Mercados abertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 85,3 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,9 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 21,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 mais resultados
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Walter Isaacson believes it will happen: