Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 87.8% em 25 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November? é resolvido?

Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de outubro de 2026.

Como Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: We're looking for AI-pilled writers for the MNX substack (https://blog.mnx.fi/)! If you're interested in writing about AI timelines, competitive dynamics between the labs, product releases, the compute buildout, or related topics, please DM me here on Manifold or on Discord.

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

Volume total

€ 388,3 mil

Volume 24h

€ 65,8 mil

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.1pt53%
• Gemini-3.3pt34.7%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 450T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 898,1 mil

Volume 24h

€ 41,7 mil

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T29.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.3pt18.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.8pt17.6%

+7 mais resultados

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• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Best AI this week
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?