Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNetanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there 93.2%Líder entre 3 opções
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27
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
-1.5 pts
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado20/11/25, 16:31 UTC31/12/26, 16:24 UTC
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PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketRegras
De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC.
- If Netanyahu resorts to some sort of helicopter landing on top of the UN HQ compound or something, then idk I'll probably have to resolve N/A. I'll interpret arrest fairly broadly.
- For example, if Netanyahu is detained by NYC officials in any capacity, even if he is then immediately released into federal custody or something, that will still resolve.
