Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028?
IAOne-OffTecnologia2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 55.6%
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado18/06/26, 15:10 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, as of December 31, 2028, at least half of the top 15 of all evaluated individuals by average Elo rating across the language models tracked on the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) AI Values Dashboard (https://values.safe.ai/) or the best replication of it are pro AI safety.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Current top rated AI safety people include:
- Yoshua Bengio
- Stuart Russell
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 56% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028? é resolvido?
- Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria