Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 73.9%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado10/08/26, 18:06 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsClaude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Unreleased version of Claude increased the lower bound for the fraction of zeros of the Riemann zeta function that satisfy the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%.
- "Major" is judged by me.
- Update 2026-08-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator confirmed that the Claude improvement (increasing the lower bound of zeros from 41.6% to 67.2%) is considered a "major" improvement.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Will LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Unreleased version of Claude increased the lower bound for the fraction of zeros of the Riemann zeta function that satisfy the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%.