Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2080 98.9%Líder entre 17 opções
2080 98.9%Previsores
77
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado29/07/24, 21:16 UTC1/01/01, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOnce level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsWill level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegras
At the beginning of each year level 5 self driving is not available the previous year will resolve to NO.
- If level 5 self driving is available year 2028.
- Year 2028 and all years after will resolve to YES.
- Level 5 self driving.
- Needs to be available in US and Europe for normal consumers.
- Should not cost much more than a normal expensive car.