Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 57.4%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado31/03/26, 16:20 UTC30/06/27, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Katha by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Katha by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Katha, northern Sagaing Region by June 30, 2027.
- YES if by June 30, 2027:
- All major junta installations in Katha captured
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA-led forces control Irrawaddy river access at Katha
- Resistance administering civilian affairs
Mercados abertos
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will KIA-led forces have captured Katha by June 30, 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will KIA-led forces have captured Katha by June 30, 2027? é resolvido?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Katha by June 30, 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2027.
- Como Will KIA-led forces have captured Katha by June 30, 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Katha, northern Sagaing Region by June 30, 2027.