Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 66.2%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado3/05/25, 06:34 UTC30/04/27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch holds the official title of Leader of the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom on May 1, 2027.
- If she does not hold this position on that date, the market will resolve to "No." The determination will be based on official announcements from the Conservative Party or reputable news sources.
- Kemi Badenoch became the Leader of the Conservative Party on November 2, 2024, succeeding Rishi Sunak after the party's significant defeat in the July 2024 general election.
- As the first Black woman to lead a major UK political party, Badenoch has pledged to renew the party by focusing on traditional Conservative values and preparing for the next general election, expected by 2029.
- The local elections on May 1, 2025, resulted in significant losses for the Conservative Party, with Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, making substantial gains.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de abril de 2027.
- Como Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria: