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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoEurope6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 14%
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

34,9 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

9.9% / 20.0%

Spread

102.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

3/01/26, 15:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes14%

Regras

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.

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Regras

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.