Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 82.5%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado18/01/26, 20:26 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Pierre Poilievre is no longer the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by December 31, 2026.
- This includes removal via the mandatory leadership review scheduled for late January 2026 in Calgary, or any subsequent leadership change during the year.
- The Conservative Party has adopted the Reform Act, which allows the leader to be removed by a vote of the majority of caucus, in addition to the party membership review process.
- The market resolves NO if Poilievre remains leader through the end of 2026.
- Poilievre has served as leader of the Conservative Party and leader of the Official Opposition since 2022.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year é resolvido?
- Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria