Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.7%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 horas
Desatualizado9/09/25, 15:36 UTC8/09/27, 18:38 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This resolves YES if Kalshi prevails in all current appellate cases on CEA preemption against state gambling enforcement, defined as:
- Third Circuit (New Jersey): the court affirms the district court’s preliminary injunction protecting Kalshi from NJ enforcement or dismisses the appeal in a way that leaves that injunction in place.
- Docket: Kalshiex LLC v.
- Mary Jo Flaherty et al, No. 25-1922.
- (dockets.justia.com)
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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- Volume 24h
- € 220,4 mil
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- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 mais resultados
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KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
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- Volume total
- € 105,1 mil
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+16.0pt87%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+20.0pt66%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? é resolvido?
- Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? deverá ser resolvido em 8 de setembro de 2027.
- Como Will Kalshi sweep the Appeals court cases about pre-emption? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria