Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffCommoditiesPolíticaEleição1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 67%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado8/09/25, 18:27 UTC31/12/27, 19:22 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This resolves “Yes” if the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit issues a decision in Kalshiex LLC v.
- Martin et al.
- (No. 25-1892) that grants Kalshi the relief it seeks on appeal (e.g., reverses or vacates the district court’s denial of injunctive relief or otherwise rules in Kalshi’s favor). “No” if the Fourth Circuit affirms the district court or dismisses the appeal without granting Kalshi relief.
- Published or unpublished opinions count.
- If the appeal is dismissed (including voluntarily) without relief to Kalshi, resolves “No.” Sources for resolution: Fourth Circuit opinions page and the case docket.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 67% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor? é resolvido?
- Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria