Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.3%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado17/09/26, 00:06 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will John Cornyn win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate?
Manifold MarketsWill Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
KalshiIf James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Must be an official endorsement, retweeting or sharing posts promoting Talarico or criticising Paxton don’t count.
- Saying he will vote for Talarico will count.
- Resolves no on poll close at election day.
- Saying voters can make their own mind up doesn’t count.
- Saying I’m not voting for Paxton doesn’t count.
- Saying I’m voting for Talarico in public would count.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 615,5 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 mais resultados
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico é resolvido?
- Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Must be an official endorsement, retweeting or sharing posts promoting Talarico or criticising Paxton don’t count.
- Onde mais Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.