KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 81%
Qualidade do mercado
53 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
123,7 €
Liquidez
5,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
9.0% / 15.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
17/09/26, 20:00 UTC3/11/26, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will John Cornyn win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate?
Manifold MarketsWill Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
KalshiIf James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If John Cornyn publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for James Talarico's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election or be clearly in context of the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election The endorsement must come directly from John Cornyn or through official channels
- The following scenarios would resolve to YES: John Cornyn states "I endorse James Talarico for U.S. Senate" John Cornyn states "I support James Talarico" with clear reference to the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election John Cornyn states "I'm voting for James Talarico" publicly John Cornyn states "James Talarico has my full support" for the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election John Cornyn appears at campaign events specifically to endorse John Cornyn releases official endorsement through their organization John Cornyn allows their name/image to be used in James Talarico's campaign materials
- Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that John Cornyn is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement by John Cornyn in the specified race.
- If no qualifying endorsement of James Talarico occurs before November 3, 2026, this market resolves to No.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico??
- A Kalshi cota No em 81% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? é resolvido?
- Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If John Cornyn publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.