Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffOriente MédioGeopolíticaBasqueteEsportesPolítica dos EUA2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 51.7%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 40 minutos
5/03/26, 04:43 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiCountries that attack Iran before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- The US and Israel launched a coordinated joint attack on Iran on February 28, 2026, codenamed Operation Epic Fury by the US Department of Defense, targeting key Iranian officials, military commanders and facilities.
- This market resolves YES if J.D. Vance makes a public statement criticizing this decision before January 1, 2029.
- Public statements include interviews, speeches, op-eds, social media posts, or other publicly available remarks.
- The criticism must be directed at the decision to attack Iran itself, not merely at the execution or consequences of the operation.
- Resolution will be determined by reviewing public records, news archives, and official statements from Vance.
