Will Donald Trump Win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoGeopolíticaOriente MédioRússia / UcrâniaEsportesFutebolPolítica dos EUA2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.7%
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Atualizado há 12 minutos
12/10/26, 17:13 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if the Norwegian Nobel Committee names Donald J. Trump as a laureate of the 2028 Nobel Peace Prize, either alone or shared with other individuals or organizations.
- It resolves NO if the 2028 prize goes to anyone else, or if the committee declines to award a Peace Prize for 2028.
- Resolution details:
- “2028 Nobel Peace Prize” means the prize the committee designates as the 2028 award, normally announced in October 2028 and presented December 10, 2028.
- If the announcement is delayed, the market waits for it.
- Only an official award from the Norwegian Nobel Committee counts.
