Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffEsportesPolítica dos EUAXadrezOriente Médio3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 69.6%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado30/10/25, 02:41 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States conducts a nuclear weapons test before January 1, 2030.
- A nuclear test is defined as any explosive nuclear detonation, whether underground, underwater, or in the atmosphere.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of Energy, Department of Defense, or credible international monitoring sources such as the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO).
- The market resolves NO if no such test occurs by the deadline.
- The last underground nuclear test occurred on September 23, 1992.
