Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
7.4 pts (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaIA1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 68.7%-7.4ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-7.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
9/11/24, 15:37 UTC17/01/28, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.
- Terms for the Market
- Notable Integration:
- Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
- Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
- Qualifying Political Figure: