Will JD Vance be president of the United States at any point before the end of January 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUA2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80%
Previsores
29
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado28/02/25, 04:19 UTC1/02/29, 04:59 UTC
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Update 2025-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Temporary Presidencies Excluded:
- If JD Vance serves as president solely due to a temporary or acting capacity (such as a brief succession triggered by another president’s incapacitation), that scenario will not be counted.
- Only cases where JD Vance assumes the presidency in a permanent or constitutionally recognized manner will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
