Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84.8%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 minutos
9/09/25, 00:57 UTC31/01/27, 23:59 UTC
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Regras
At the end of January 2027, I will ask one of the directors of MATS at the time (currently Ryan Kidd and Christian Smith) if Ilya Sutskever has been actively involved in mentoring any of the MATS scholars in any MATS program between now and then, and resolve the market accordingly.
- The market resolves yes even if Ilya was added as a mentor after applicant selection, so Ilya doesn't need to be listed as a mentor on the MATS website.
- The ground truth is the answer from the director of MATS I ask in Jan 2027.
