Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 92.1%
Previsores
28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado30/03/25, 10:39 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/tempo/will-hans-niemann-be-a-top-10-chess?play=true)If the linked question resolves YES at any time before the end of market close, this market resolves YES.
- If the market closes and the conditions for the linked question are not fulfilled, resolves NO.
- Since this is a very objective market, I will bet on it.
- Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The December 2026 FIDE rating list will be the definitive source for resolution, even if it is published after the market closes (e.g., in January 2027).
- If it is clear Hans will not be in the top 10 by the end of 2026, the market may resolve NO immediately at its close time.
Mercados abertos
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- Liem Le99%
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KALSHITitled Tuesday Top 5: Sep 8
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):