Will GPT-5 be capable of achieving superhuman performance in at least one exam that is typically taken by humans?
IAOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 90.6%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado8/05/23, 17:14 UTC1/01/30, 14:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolved to YES if there is at least one exam that humans typically take, where GPT-5 or an equivalent flagship model from OpenAI displays superhuman performance.
- The exact name 'GPT-5' is not necessary.
- Edit: To be ‘superhuman’, a GPT-5 or equivalent model has to score higher than the best humans on the same task.
- If they tie, it only counts if both have a perfect score.
